The eugenics crowd has been after since the when I showed the IQ thingy to be a fraud. You can tell at the reactions of a bunch of people. link.medium.com/ehxNGI2Zc2 

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Original: twitter.com/nntaleb/status/120

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Time to do my “told you so”. You guys are 1 year too late. @Clairlemon et al are nothing but a cover for eugenics. twitter.com/rvawonk/status/120 …

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Original: twitter.com/nntaleb/status/120

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Thread on Ergodicity & @ole_b_peters work

1) If you optimize on multiperiod payoffs you avoid an absorbing state(0), because multiplicative. ANY such optimization will avoid absorption, not just LOG

2) Growth is a nice summary parameter.

3) Avoiding absorption does same.

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Original: twitter.com/nntaleb/status/120

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[For those who don't get it: the point is that some friends are worse than enemies]

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Original: twitter.com/nntaleb/status/120

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DISCUSSION
Friends, the M5 competition (@spyrosmakrid ) is about inventory prediction using ML or other.

I suggested predicting maxima & minima on top of the usual.

While extrema are useful in trading ("never cross a river that's on ave 4f deep"), are they with inventories?

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Original: twitter.com/nntaleb/status/120

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb Retweeted:

Attending one of these exposes and clears a lot of BS from your thinking.

You think you understood the Incerto, maybe even read it a few times, and then you attend and discover that you were missing something essential. twitter.com/nntaleb/status/120 …

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Original: twitter.com/nntaleb/status/120

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What you see and what you don't see: The hidden moments for a probability distribution.

The Lucretius problem in . (Turns out explicit result below is new.)

Inspired by a mistake made by that idiot
@WGoetzmann
(who sees as an "airport book") .

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Original: twitter.com/nntaleb/status/120

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Friends, we gave in.
Thanks to @Firsou we have a new website

realworldrisk.com 

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Original: twitter.com/nntaleb/status/120

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb Retweeted:

Raffael Zanoli @UnivPoliMarche tells @iSAGE_H2020 industry mtg in of @nntaleb concept of . Beyond , resulting from challenges in the environment making you more to future challenges. Applies in AND !

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Original: twitter.com/nntaleb/status/120

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb Retweeted:

“A book review can be far more descriptive of the reviewer than the book itself.” —@nntaleb

That you can learn as much about the source of information as its object is one of the most helpful principles I’ve come across recently.

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Original: twitter.com/nntaleb/status/120

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has reigned over 7 prime ministers, 4 presidents, a dozen finance ministers. If a single person is the perpetrator, it is him. He is the cancer.

PS Riad, your “friends”’s smear campaign against me is equivalent to draining the Mediterranean with a teaspoon. twitter.com/ehsani22/status/12 …

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Original: twitter.com/nntaleb/status/120

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I will be involved in this project with a formal status as "friend".
Hopefully expand it to "The Great East-Med (Graeco-Phoenician) BS-debunking School of Statistics". twitter.com/spyrosmakrid/statu …

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Original: twitter.com/nntaleb/status/120

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb Retweeted:

At the Institute For the Future (IFF), University of Nicosia we have founded the MOFC (The Makridakis Open Forecasting Center). Its purpose to Advance the Theory and Practice of Forecasting through competitions, conferences, publications and forecasting courses. @polemitis

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Original: twitter.com/nntaleb/status/120

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When you encounter Pinker style careerism, remember the following.

A book (or a work of scholarship) is something that is read 25 years after publication. What happens in the 25 years doesn't count.

The rest is a combination of noise, promotion, hype & resumé building.

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Original: twitter.com/nntaleb/status/120

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb Retweeted:

My wife and I had the same idea for Christmas for each other... @nntaleb’s masterpiece in the deluxe edition! Received today. A very nice present.

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Original: twitter.com/nntaleb/status/120

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